Time Series Forecast
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Gold Price Forecast
Trading Plan
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XAUUSD (Spot Gold) — Live Chart
Partner
Trade gold (XAU/USD) with a regulated broker.
Open Plus500 (Referral)CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford the high risk of losing your money.
About the AI Models
We train and run our models directly in BigQuery ML using 30+ years of daily gold and silver prices. The dataset is cleaned (gaps forward-filled and series aligned) and stored in the project’s market dataset.
Models we maintain
- gold_arima — An automatic ARIMA time-series model for gold that captures trend and mean-reversion without external inputs.
- gold_arimax — An ARIMA variant that can include exogenous signals (e.g., calendar or market drivers) for scenario and robustness checks.
- silver_arima — The baseline ARIMA model for silver, used for cross-market confirmation.
Why several models?
We triangulate. Each model produces a daily forecast with an 80% prediction interval (PI); results are compared for stability and outlier risk before we surface a view.
How this powers the forecast
- Time Series Forecast shows the near-term probabilistic path and PI for the current day.
- Gold Price Forecast commentary is generated with Gemini using live spot context and recent market cues, aligned to model levels and risk ranges.
Notes
These are statistical forecasts, not financial advice. Model performance can vary during shock events; always manage risk.